Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 202.960902 237.036546 276.712906 326.729658 388.673315 463.629167 5.623610e+02
2025-07-20 166.112972 210.965123 269.192415 351.996767 469.558825 635.066860 8.944585e+02
2025-07-27 139.381331 186.886149 253.153997 355.546426 515.951099 769.239844 1.226006e+03
2025-08-03 123.039946 172.186595 244.805966 364.964463 569.707943 927.793852 1.664524e+03
2025-08-10 108.906793 157.625585 232.989585 364.859640 606.012895 1067.068531 2.137334e+03
2025-08-17 98.872605 147.415143 225.638680 369.659658 651.007335 1237.211484 2.774763e+03
2025-08-24 89.762474 137.201850 216.334734 368.559251 683.752773 1393.875723 3.486081e+03
2025-08-31 82.349348 128.704300 208.477460 368.233053 717.564104 1566.234190 4.377748e+03
2025-09-07 77.160594 123.260139 205.080615 375.700634 770.274108 1808.350073 5.724410e+03
2025-09-14 69.660364 112.901708 191.244812 359.139460 762.648743 1885.579232 6.546886e+03
2025-09-21 65.102183 107.302166 185.617377 358.957420 795.247187 2096.124438 8.199277e+03
2025-09-28 61.448909 102.952782 181.811613 362.037858 837.323936 2359.550239 1.051876e+04
2025-10-05 59.821713 102.616403 186.752707 388.330203 958.586548 3000.099683 1.665849e+04
2025-10-12 58.460908 102.695000 192.738622 419.290686 1109.991769 3908.988831 2.845381e+04
2025-10-19 55.060496 98.330412 188.579555 423.686550 1180.594930 4550.039377 4.154814e+04
2025-10-26 52.553417 95.471260 187.286139 435.436940 1282.756620 5473.511672 6.613251e+04
2025-11-02 49.510614 91.169227 182.109942 435.305944 1342.760294 6252.939749 9.841315e+04
2025-11-09 47.148131 88.051707 179.255138 441.302286 1430.917847 7351.902874 1.607557e+05
2025-11-16 44.588534 84.254684 174.280449 439.927213 1489.397790 8357.855862 2.539224e+05
2025-11-23 42.319414 80.876378 169.899118 439.519640 1553.524489 9548.829733 4.246072e+05
2025-11-30 40.730330 78.852019 168.621757 448.855398 1669.739827 11482.850633 8.789776e+05
2025-12-07 37.865149 73.714265 158.854878 428.166145 1629.288315 11794.889980 1.197371e+06
2025-12-14 36.162841 71.090431 155.294864 427.939035 1696.100738 13498.959496 2.482651e+06